Tijuana vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TIJ
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TIJ
1 - 2
PUM
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 2
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LOB
3 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
MEX
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 1
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
4 - 1
SAG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 2
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PUM
1 - 1
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |