Tijuana vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 0
TIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TIJ
0 - 2
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
IRA
0 - 0
TIJ
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
3 - 1
TIJ
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ORI
2 - 1
PUE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
COY
2 - 1
ORI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
ORI
0 - 0
UAT
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LOB
3 - 0
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ORI
0 - 2
TAB
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |