Tijuana vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
TIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUE
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 4
TIJ
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 0
VER
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 0
TIJ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 0
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |