Tijuana vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
TIJ
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 0
TIJ
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
TIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 1
CAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
5 - 1
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |