Tijarafe vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VER
1 - 0
UDT
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
UDT
1 - 0
RSI
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SDT
4 - 1
UDT
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UDT
0 - 1
CDT
24%
26%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LPA
4 - 3
UDT
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RSI
1 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
REA
0 - 2
VTZ
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
REA
1 - 2
UDL
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SDT
3 - 2
REA
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
REA
2 - 0
CDM
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +3 |