Tigrillos vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
COB
2 - 2
TIG
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 1
MEX
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MER
2 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 4
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ZAP
1 - 3
TIG
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 2
DUR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
DOR
3 - 1
ORI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 0
ORI
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
ORI
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |