Tigrillos vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ORI
0 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
COB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 1
TIG
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 0
TIG
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 0
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DOR
4 - 3
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 3
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
LEO
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |