Tigrillos vs Acapulco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 3
TIG
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
4 - 0
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
COB
2 - 2
TIG
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 1
MEX
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MER
2 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acapulco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
4 - 1
DUR
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 1
ACA
73%
16%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 5
LEO
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |