Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 0
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 1
LEO
47%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 0
PUE
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUA
78%
15%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PUM
3 - 1
TOL
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |