Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
TIG
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TIG
0 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIG
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TIG
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
PAC
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |