Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
QRO
0 - 1
TIG
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIG
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 0
TIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 1
PAC
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
AME
1 - 2
TIG
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 3
PAC
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |