Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 0
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
TIG
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TIG
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 3
TIG
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
LOB
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 2
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |