Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
TIG
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
QRO
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 2
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |