Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 3
TIG
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ATS
2 - 0
TIG
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 1
SNL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
SNL
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |