Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TIG
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 1
CFC
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PUM
2 - 1
TIG
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
TIG
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
EST
4 - 2
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |