Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AME
2 - 1
TIG
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TIG
3 - 2
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
TIG
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |