Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 1
TIG
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 2
TIG
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 1
TIG
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
PUM
3 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
PUM
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
3 - 0
ATS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |