CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Tigres UANL vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
HOD
0 - 2
TIG
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TIG
3 - 0
PAC
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
TIG
5 - 1
SAP
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
TIG
18%
27%
55%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
HOD
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
HOD
0 - 2
TIG
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
HOD
1 - 1
RSL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
HOD
2 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOD
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |