Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Tigres UANL Premier vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CSL
1 - 4
TIG
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 1
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 1
TIG
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TIG
2 - 2
TEM
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
REB
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 2
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PDC
0 - 1
TOL
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |