Tigres de Álica vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+346%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
10º
10º
16
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 2
TDA
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
TDA
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 2
TDA
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TDA
5 - 0
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
TDA
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
RAF
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MIN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
4 - 0
RVC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
CIM
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |