Tigres de Álica vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+346%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
6º
4º
25
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
TDA
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TDA
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | +5 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
RAF
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LCU
3 - 2
CIM
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |