Tigre II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 2
GOC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
TIG
22%
26%
52%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 0
CCS
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CAU
0 - 1
TIG
15%
25%
60%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 0
BOC
33%
27%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ACC
2 - 2
VEL
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 4
VEL
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 0
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |