Tigre II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 1
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
SLO
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
EST
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
GOC
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
TIG
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GOC
1 - 0
VEL
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 0
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |