Tierra Firme vs AD Orión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 2
TIE
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 2
TIE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
COL
2 - 3
TIE
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
TIE
1 - 2
MSM
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TIE
0 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
5 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 4
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 4
SUN
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -2 |