Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
8º
6º
8
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 2
TIT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 2
MEI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 1
HAN
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TIT
3 - 0
QYI
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CBC
0 - 0
TIT
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
SJF
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 2
QYI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 1
DES
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 0
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |