Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
8º
7º
11
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 65 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 61 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 2
TIT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 2
MEI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 1
HAN
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TIT
3 - 0
QYI
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CBC
0 - 0
TIT
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
SJF
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 2
QYI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 1
DES
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 0
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |