Thyella D Rafina vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
12º
3º
46
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
RAF
38%
29%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 0
ANK
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 3
RAF
18%
25%
58%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 1
MOS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
KER
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
KER
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GIO
0 - 0
FCM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 0
AAO
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FOS
0 - 1
FCM
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |