Thyella D Rafina vs Agios Nikolaos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
12º
3º
35
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 3
RAF
18%
25%
58%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 1
MOS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
KER
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GIO
2 - 1
RAF
44%
29%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Agios Nikolaos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GIO
2 - 0
ANK
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AAO
3 - 1
ANK
43%
22%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 1
FOS
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 2
APP
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |