Thurrock vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DOV
3 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
EAS
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 2
WHI
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
3 - 1
DAR
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DAR
3 - 1
TON
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 1
STA
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 2
DAR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |