Thurrock vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
THU
2 - 1
STA
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WES
2 - 1
THU
44%
24%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
THU
0 - 3
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 2
BRO
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
THU
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
DAR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 4
DOR
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
0 - 2
DAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 1
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 1
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |