Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
WSA
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
THU
3 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 1
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
DES
2 - 0
THU
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
WSA
86%
11%
4%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
WSA
0 - 3
CHI
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
2 - 3
STL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
0 - 4
DES
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
0 - 4
THU
10%
18%
72%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | -1 |