Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
THU
3 - 0
WSA
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
THU
2 - 3
DES
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
THU
3 - 1
DES
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
THU
1 - 0
SPR
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
THU
1 - 2
STL
80%
13%
6%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
THU
3 - 0
WSA
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
WSA
1 - 3
STL
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
WSA
0 - 0
SPR
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
WSA
3 - 2
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WSA
0 - 2
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |