Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
KIT
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 2
THU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
THU
1 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
THU
5 - 2
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
REA
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
WSA
0 - 0
STL
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
WSA
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
WSA
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
THU
4 - 0
WSA
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
WSA
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | -1 |