Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
DES
2 - 0
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
DES
0 - 1
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 4
THU
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
THU
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
STL
0 - 1
THU
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
STL
3 - 0
WSA
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SPR
0 - 1
WSA
46%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
DES
3 - 1
WSA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
DES
4 - 0
WSA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
REA
5 - 1
WSA
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |