Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
THU
3 - 1
KCB
77%
14%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
REA
1 - 1
STL
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
STL
1 - 0
DES
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
STL
2 - 4
KCB
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SPR
4 - 1
STL
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
STL
1 - 4
DES
25%
23%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |