Thunder Bay Chill vs Springfield Synergy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
STL
0 - 2
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 0
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Springfield Synergy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 0
SPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 0
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
1 - 0
CFC
16%
23%
62%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 1
STL
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
STL
2 - 2
SPR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |