Thunder Bay Chill vs Springfield Synergy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
STL
2 - 2
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
THU
0 - 1
STL
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
STL
1 - 0
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
STL
2 - 3
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 1
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Springfield Synergy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
1 - 1
SPR
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DES
0 - 0
SPR
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SPR
5 - 2
WSA
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SPR
0 - 1
DES
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
STL
0 - 2
SPR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +3 |