Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
THU
2 - 1
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
THU
2 - 0
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
DES
1 - 3
THU
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
KCB
0 - 1
THU
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
THU
2 - 1
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
KCB
0 - 2
ROC
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
STL
0 - 1
ROC
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
SPR
0 - 1
ROC
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 1
SPR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |