Thunder Bay Chill vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
WSA
0 - 1
THU
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
THU
1 - 4
ATL
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
BRC
1 - 2
THU
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
MIC
1 - 2
THU
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
WSA
3 - 4
DES
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
WSA
0 - 2
DES
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
KCB
2 - 5
DES
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
KCB
2 - 1
DES
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DES
5 - 2
STL
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |