Thunder Bay Chill vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
DES
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 3
THU
27%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 3
THU
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
REA
4 - 2
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
REA
1 - 1
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
DES
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
KCB
1 - 1
DES
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
DES
2 - 2
STL
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
STL
2 - 2
DES
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
REA
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |