Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 4
YOB
20%
22%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 3
THU
3%
9%
88%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUD
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 2
ZUR
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 1
ZUR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |