Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 2
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
GCZ
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
3 - 0
ZUR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
4 - 0
STG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |