Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
THU
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STG
2 - 0
THU
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
12%
18%
70%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 2
ZUR
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |