Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 0
THU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
THU
3 - 3
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SIO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 4
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
5 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |