Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
77%
15%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
THU
1 - 2
GCZ
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
NEX
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
2 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |