Thun vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
66
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
THU
0 - 2
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 2
THU
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 0
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
4 - 0
YVE
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCA
23%
22%
54%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 1
YVE
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 2
YVE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |