Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
THU
3 - 1
KRI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
THU
1 - 1
FCV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 0
THU
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
THU
4 - 1
SER
27%
24%
50%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 2
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 0
KRI
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 3
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
NEX
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |