Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 0
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
STG
4 - 1
WIL
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |