Thun vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 0
THU
26%
23%
51%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 8
THU
2%
5%
94%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 2
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
YVE
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
SCH
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RAP
2 - 3
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
FCV
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 3
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |