Thun vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
THU
3 - 3
SPA
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 4
THU
9%
18%
74%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 3
YOB
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
0 - 2
SIO
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 22 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
SIO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
SIO
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |