Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Thun Neuchâtel Xamax
68 ELO 57
6.4% Tilt 23.4%
431º General ELO ranking 1609º
12º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
66.7%
Thun
19.7%
Draw
13.6%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
Thun
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+4%
-2%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

Thun
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Thun
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Thun
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Thun
THU
33%
25%
42%
69 66 3 0
25 Sep. 2023
SIO
Sion
2 - 3
Thun
THU
41%
26%
33%
68 71 3 +1
22 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
41%
24%
34%
67 66 1 +1
16 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
1 - 3
Luzern
FCL
28%
24%
49%
68 80 12 -1
02 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
43%
25%
32%
67 66 1 +1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 3
Sion
SIO
19%
23%
58%
58 70 12 0
26 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Baden
BAD
51%
24%
25%
58 54 4 0
22 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
53%
24%
23%
59 65 6 -1
15 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
13%
19%
68%
59 85 26 0
01 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
56%
23%
21%
59 53 6 0